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The Rupee in 2026

The rupee's fall against the dollar is 2026's most-watched market story, and the Reserve Bank's policy backdrop behind it has turned: the repo rate, held at 5.25 percent through four reviews, was raised to 5.50 percent on 7 October 2026, with growth and inflation projections both marked up after August had lifted growth and trimmed inflation. The central bank still declines to defend any level for the currency, widening instead the pipeline of dollars arriving through non-resident deposits and overseas corporate borrowing.

Last updated 7 October 20267 min read
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Records the 7 October 2026 repo hike to 5.50 percent, the shift to calibrated tightening and RBI's higher FY27 projections: growth 7.1 percent, inflation 5.2 percent.

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